Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
28.48% ( -0.05) | 23.98% ( -0.02) | 47.55% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% ( 0.08) | 43.78% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% ( 0.08) | 66.17% ( -0.08) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( 0) | 28.61% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% ( 0) | 64.41% ( -0) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( 0.07) | 18.56% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( 0.11) | 49.82% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.48% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |