Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
41.64% ( 0.42) | 25.36% ( 0.03) | 33% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -0.22) | 47.89% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -0.2) | 70.07% ( 0.21) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( 0.11) | 22.88% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% ( 0.16) | 56.62% ( -0.16) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( -0.38) | 27.65% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( -0.5) | 63.2% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |