Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.