Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stirling Albion |
32.46% ( 0.16) | 25.64% ( -0) | 41.89% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( 0.05) | 49.28% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( 0.04) | 71.34% ( -0.05) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% ( 0.13) | 28.67% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% ( 0.16) | 64.49% ( -0.16) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.64% ( -0.06) | 23.36% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.67% ( -0.08) | 57.33% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stirling Albion |
1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |