Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
18.71% ( 0.13) | 22.62% ( 0.01) | 58.68% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.08% ( 0.13) | 47.92% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.9% ( 0.12) | 70.1% ( -0.12) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.43% ( 0.22) | 39.58% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.74% ( 0.2) | 76.26% ( -0.2) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( -0) | 16% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.68% ( -0.01) | 45.33% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.71% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.63% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |