Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
58.63% ( -0.01) | 21.51% ( 0) | 19.87% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% ( 0) | 41.35% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% ( 0) | 63.74% |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.19% ( -0) | 13.81% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.85% ( -0.01) | 41.15% ( 0.01) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.49% ( 0.01) | 34.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.77% ( 0.01) | 71.23% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 58.63% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |