Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
36.93% ( 0.13) | 25.06% ( -0.15) | 38.01% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.07% ( 0.73) | 45.93% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.76% ( 0.69) | 68.23% ( -0.69) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.57% ( 0.41) | 24.42% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.15% ( 0.57) | 58.85% ( -0.57) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% ( 0.35) | 23.85% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.96% ( 0.49) | 58.03% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |