Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
39.79% ( -0.5) | 24.12% ( 0.02) | 36.09% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% ( -0) | 41.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% ( -0) | 63.95% ( 0.01) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.23) | 21.02% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( -0.37) | 53.81% ( 0.37) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( 0.26) | 22.88% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.37% ( 0.38) | 56.63% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |