Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
34.13% ( 1.73) | 26.32% ( 1.43) | 39.56% ( -3.16) |
Both teams to score 52.9% ( -4.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% ( -5.79) | 51.76% ( 5.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( -5.26) | 73.53% ( 5.26) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( -1.74) | 28.83% ( 1.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( -2.22) | 64.69% ( 2.22) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% ( -4.14) | 25.68% ( 4.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% ( -5.98) | 60.58% ( 5.98) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 1.59) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.13% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.82) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 1.57) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.57) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 1.1) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.74) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.6) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.45) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |