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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Morecambe |
67% (![]() | 20.11% (![]() | 12.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.99% (![]() | 48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.82% (![]() | 70.17% (![]() |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.6% (![]() | 13.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.67% (![]() | 40.33% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.56% (![]() | 47.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.19% (![]() | 82.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 12.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.77% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 67% | 1-1 @ 9.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.74% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 12.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 76 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
3 | Walsall | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 72 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 72 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 69 |
6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 66 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 65 |
9 | Chesterfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 62 |
10 | Salford City | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 62 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 61 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 66 | 61 | 5 | 57 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Bromley | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 56 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 55 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 53 |
17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 47 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 46 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 46 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 44 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 43 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 37 |
24 | Morecambe | 42 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |