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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Morecambe

Carlisle
vs.
Morecambe

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 0-1 Morecambe

 Despite their recent struggles, Morecambe have looked much more cohesive and decisive away from home, and we believe they can frustrate a side that have been dismal in front of their supporters all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 36.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
36.68% (-0.707 -0.71) 26.65% (0.117 0.12) 36.67% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.481 -0.48)52.94% (0.476 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.411 -0.41)74.54% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.642 -0.64)27.85% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)63.45% (0.824 0.82)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.117 0.12)27.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (0.15 0.15)63.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.68%
    Morecambe 36.67%
    Draw 26.65%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.67%

Who will win Thursday's League Two clash between Carlisle and Morecambe?

Carlisle United
Draw
Morecambe
Carlisle United
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Morecambe
0.0%
3
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
1-2
Carlisle
Hope (16')
Snowball (45+1'), Lewis (76')
O'Donoghue (75'), Williams (78')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
0-2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-2
Morecambe
Patrick (45'), Hayden (65')
Watt (51'), Anderton (59'), Webster (90')
Stockton (18'), Wildig (24')
Cranston (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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