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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Morecambe

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Morecambe

Jude-Boyd (33'), Miller (74')
Thomas (26'), Bakare (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Macadam (64'), Williams (83')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
42.12% (0.0039999999999978 0) 26.45% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.43% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51%59.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.012 -0.01)31.22% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 42.11%
    Morecambe 31.43%
    Draw 26.45%
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.43%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Morecambe
2-1
Cheltenham
Weir (20'), Phillips (47')
May (39')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Morecambe
1-3
Cheltenham
Leigh (52')
Sercombe (44'), Wright (46'), May (80')
Bonds (9')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cheltenham
3-1
Morecambe
Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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