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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Tranmere

Colwill (89')
Payne (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connor (48'), Norris (68'), Davies (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

With just one point separating the two sides, we expect Friday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, and with that in mind, we think that Cheltenham may have to settle for a draw for a third consecutive home match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawTranmere Rovers
40.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 26.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 33.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)51.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)73.28% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.2% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.94% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)29.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (0.084000000000003 0.08)64.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 40.18%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.58%
    Draw 26.22%
Cheltenham TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.58%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Tranmere

Cheltenham Town
38.2%
Draw
41.2%
Tranmere Rovers
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cheltenham
4-0
Tranmere
Thomas (4'), Boyle (14'), May (42'), Wright (57')
Sercombe (35'), Smith (52')

O'Connor (45+3')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tranmere
0-3
Cheltenham

Vaughan (44'), Lewis (90+1')
Raglan (6'), Williams (20'), Lewis (39' og.)
Blair (88'), Sercombe (88')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-3
Tranmere
Varney (42')
Broom (24')
Norwood (46'), Miller (61'), Banks (72')
Banks (39'), McCullough (69'), Harris (83')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tranmere
1-0
Cheltenham
Norwood (13')
McNulty (71')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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