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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
29.53% ( 0.73) | 26.96% ( 0.06) | 43.51% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.38% ( 0.07) | 55.62% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.22% ( 0.06) | 76.78% ( -0.06) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.04% ( 0.6) | 33.96% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.36% ( 0.64) | 70.64% ( -0.64) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -0.37) | 25.36% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( -0.51) | 60.16% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |