Cheltenham

3 - 2

Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.