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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Grimsby Town.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
43.89% ( -0.06) | 26.81% ( -0.06) | 29.31% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.62% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.85% ( 0.29) | 55.14% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% ( 0.24) | 76.39% ( -0.24) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.04% ( 0.1) | 24.96% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.4% ( 0.14) | 59.6% ( -0.14) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.12% ( 0.25) | 33.88% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.45% ( 0.27) | 70.55% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |