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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Grimsby Town

Harrogate
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Burrell (31'), Ramsay (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
Green (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

With just one clean sheet from the last five matches apiece for either team heading into the clash, we expect goals at both ends here. That said, we can also see the sides cancelling each other out over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a point in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
30.48% (-0.147 -0.15) 26.02% (-0.073 -0.07) 43.5% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.238 0.24)51.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.205 0.2)73.34% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)67.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.209 0.21)23.56% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.302 0.3)57.62% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.48%
    Grimsby Town 43.5%
    Draw 26.01%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.5%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
2-2
Harrogate
Grimsby Town win 5-4 on penalties
Gibson (36' pen.), L (74')
Ohman (74'), Taylor (80')
Khouri (90')
Kiernan (81'), Lokko (86')
Lokko (33'), Smith (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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