Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
53.21% ( 0.33) | 24.67% ( 0.11) | 22.12% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.98% ( -0.91) | 52.01% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.25% ( -0.8) | 73.74% ( 0.79) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( -0.22) | 19.5% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.61% ( -0.36) | 51.38% ( 0.36) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.66% ( -0.95) | 38.34% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( -0.92) | 75.09% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |