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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Salford City

Doncaster
1 - 1
Salford City

Sharp (77')
Sharman-Lowe (23'), Bailey (38'), Hurst (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kouassi (50')
N'Mai (23'), Ashley (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 3-2 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Salford City

Given the quality throughout Doncaster Rovers' squad, particularly going forward, and the visitors' struggles on the road this term, we back the hosts to stake their claim for a return to the top three with a victory on home turf at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawSalford City
44.99% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 25.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)47.96% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)70.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (0.040000000000006 0.04)54.29% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)29.73% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (-0.07 -0.07)65.79% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 44.99%
    Salford City 29.91%
    Draw 25.1%
Doncaster RoversDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Salford City

Doncaster Rovers
88.0%
Draw
0.0%
Salford City
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Salford City
0-2
Doncaster

Chesters (39'), Chester (62'), Negru (71'), Negru (90+2'), N'Mai (90+5'), Edwards (90+5')
Sharp (21'), Molyneux (90+1')
Senior (59'), Yeboah (83')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-2
Doncaster
Wood (14' og.), Garbutt (89')
Robinson (0'), Watt (55'), Luamba (56'), Tilt (60'), Garbutt (63')
Tilt (12' og.), Adelakun (71')
Craig (64'), Bailey (74')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Doncaster
0-3
Salford City
Smith (2', 26', 77')
Ingram (40'), Mariappa (44')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Salford City
3-1
Doncaster
Bolton (12', 59'), Mallan (38')
Miller (14')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Doncaster
2-1
Salford City
Hurst (45+1', 63')
Thomas-Asante (10')
Hendry (41'), Lund (44'), Watt (90+9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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