Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.