Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.