National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Buxton3 - 2Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Radcliffe
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
36.57% ( -0.29) | 28.49% ( -0) | 34.94% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.93% ( 0.02) | 60.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.71% ( 0.02) | 80.29% ( -0.01) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.17) | 31.42% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0.2) | 67.8% ( 0.2) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( 0.2) | 32.47% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31% ( 0.23) | 69% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Buxton 36.57%
Alfreton Town 34.93%
Draw 28.49%
| Buxton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.57% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.93% |
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Buxton
0-0
Alfreton
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
