National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena
Marine AFC2 - 3Chester
Lusiama (70', 88')
Atcheson (25'), Murphy (33'), Gregson (52'), Whelan (71')
Atcheson (25'), Murphy (33'), Gregson (52'), Whelan (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Chester FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Shields 2-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Chester 1-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Marine AFC | Draw | Chester FC |
31.27% ( 0.02) | 27.61% ( -0.01) | 41.12% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.13% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.54% ( 0.04) | 57.45% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.74% ( 0.03) | 78.26% ( -0.03) |
Marine AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.36% ( 0.03) | 33.64% ( -0.03) |