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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Port Vale

Cheltenham
0 - 0
Port Vale

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Port Vale

The two teams drew 2-2 when they met earlier in the season, and we think that they could play out another draw on Saturday, which may suit both sides following their recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
29.2% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 45.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)47.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)66.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.82% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 29.2%
    Port Vale 45.85%
    Draw 24.94%
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 45.85%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Port Vale

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
33.3%
Port Vale
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Cheltenham
Odubeko (37'), Perry (40' og.)
N'Lundulu (24'), Brown (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
3-2
Port Vale
May (14'), Brown (18' og.), Sercombe (75')
Swan (83'), Hurst (85')
Guthrie (65'), Crookes (74')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Cheltenham
Tozer (39' og.)
Montano (89')
Addai (24')
Greaves (33'), Tozer (88'), Clements (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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