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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
4 - 2
Cheltenham

Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Perry (40'), May (70')
Bonds (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways sooner rather than later and will likely see Saturday as a great opportunity to do so on home turf. With home advantage and quality all over the pitch, we back the league leaders to come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
65.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 14.73% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.15900000000001 0.16)44.66% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.153 0.15)67.02% (-0.152 -0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)39.42% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (0.152 0.15)42.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.128 0.13)78.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 65.01%
    Cheltenham Town 14.73%
    Draw 20.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 65.01%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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