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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
48.08% ( -0.23) | 26.31% ( 0.07) | 25.62% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 48.52% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.68% ( -0.13) | 55.32% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% ( -0.11) | 76.53% ( 0.11) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( -0.16) | 23.03% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% ( -0.24) | 56.85% ( 0.24) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.04% ( 0.07) | 36.96% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% ( 0.07) | 73.75% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |