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League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Massey (47'), Harrison (51'), Jones (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Port Vale

While the two sides have experienced contrasting runs of form in recent weeks, a closely-fought contest is to be expected on Saturday. Peterborough will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways on home soil, but we can see the points being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
47.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.61% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.95% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.033999999999992 0.03)20.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.057000000000002 0.06)53.24% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)31.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.07 -0.07)68.31% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 47.37%
    Port Vale 27.61%
    Draw 25.01%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
64.7%
Draw
29.4%
Port Vale
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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