Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
40.58% (![]() | 24.99% (![]() | 34.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% (![]() | 45.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% (![]() | 68.2% (![]() |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% (![]() | 22.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% (![]() | 56.1% (![]() |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% (![]() | 25.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.23% (![]() | 60.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 8.75% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 11.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.95% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |