Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen of the South in this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
52.49% ( 0.39) | 24.32% ( -0.17) | 23.19% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% ( 0.47) | 49.56% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.41% ( 0.42) | 71.59% ( -0.42) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.15% ( 0.33) | 18.84% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.7% ( 0.56) | 50.29% ( -0.56) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.05) | 35.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% ( 0.05) | 72.73% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.48% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |