Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Edinburgh City |
60.44% ( 0.19) | 21.44% ( 0.02) | 18.11% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.23% ( -0.41) | 43.77% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.84% ( -0.4) | 66.16% ( 0.4) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.96% ( -0.08) | 14.04% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.39% ( -0.15) | 41.61% ( 0.15) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.19% ( -0.48) | 37.81% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.42% ( -0.47) | 74.58% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |