Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
57.17% ( 0.01) | 23.21% ( -0.01) | 19.62% |
Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% ( 0.02) | 49.1% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% ( 0.02) | 71.17% ( -0.02) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.05% ( 0.01) | 16.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( 0.02) | 47.01% ( -0.02) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.74% ( 0.01) | 39.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( 0.01) | 75.96% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 57.16% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |