Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
51.11% ( 1.24) | 23.91% ( -0.29) | 24.98% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( 0.47) | 46.14% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( 0.45) | 68.44% ( -0.44) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( 0.66) | 18.07% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% ( 1.12) | 48.99% ( -1.12) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% ( -0.52) | 32.52% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% ( -0.59) | 69.05% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.51% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |