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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Monza

Parma
2 - 1
Monza

Hernani (56' pen.), Valenti (90+9')
Valenti (63'), Hainaut (78'), Camara (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereira (87')
D'Ambrosio (28'), Izzo (28'), Mari (34'), Carboni (70'), Birindelli (73'), Pereira (90+7')
Mari (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Roma 5-0 Parma
Sunday, December 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 2-1 Monza

 Monza's need for maximum points is greater, but Parma have the more potent attack and can surely outscore one of the few teams below them in the standings. A 'new-manager bounce' cannot be ruled out - particularly as Parma often leave themselves wide open - but the visitors might head back home empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Parma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Parma.

Result
ParmaDrawMonza
38.91% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 25.25% (0.090999999999998 0.09) 35.85% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)46.86% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.394 -0.39)69.11% (0.393 0.39)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.203 -0.2)23.8% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04% (-0.29 -0.29)57.96% (0.291 0.29)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.232 -0.23)25.46% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-0.321 -0.32)60.29% (0.32 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Parma 38.91%
    Monza 35.85%
    Draw 25.24%
ParmaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.91%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.85%

How you voted: Parma vs Monza

Parma
68.6%
Draw
18.6%
Monza
12.9%
70
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Monza
1-1
Parma
Gytkjaer (87')
Vazquez (30')
Juric (44'), Camara (89')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Parma
0-0
Monza
Mihaila (7'), Brunetta (52'), Schiattarella (78'), Tutino (80')
Marrone (18'), Mazzitelli (35'), Donati (46'), Valoti (65')
Marrone (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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