Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.