Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
69.3% ( -0.23) | 17.66% ( 0.11) | 13.04% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% ( -0.18) | 36.54% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.31% ( -0.2) | 58.68% ( 0.2) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.48% ( -0.1) | 9.52% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.09% ( -0.24) | 31.91% ( 0.24) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.1% ( 0.07) | 39.9% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.44% ( 0.07) | 76.56% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.27% Total : 69.3% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.66% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |