Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
25.35% ( 0.2) | 23.08% ( 0.09) | 51.57% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.9% ( -0.23) | 42.1% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.5% ( -0.23) | 64.5% ( 0.23) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% ( 0.04) | 30.05% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% ( 0.04) | 66.18% ( -0.04) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( -0.19) | 16.4% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.95% ( -0.34) | 46.05% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |