Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
66.66% ( -0.51) | 18.29% ( 0.26) | 15.05% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.21% ( -0.71) | 34.79% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.24% ( -0.8) | 56.75% ( 0.81) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.32% ( -0.31) | 9.68% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.72% ( -0.73) | 32.27% ( 0.74) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.03% ( -0.14) | 35.97% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.25% ( -0.14) | 72.75% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.41% Total : 66.66% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.29% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 15.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |