Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
24.81% ( -0.54) | 22.4% ( -0.24) | 52.79% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 60.26% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.54% ( 0.61) | 39.46% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% ( 0.63) | 61.8% ( -0.64) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.93% ( -0.09) | 29.07% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.01% ( -0.11) | 64.98% ( 0.11) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.96% ( 0.48) | 15.03% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.48% ( 0.9) | 43.52% ( -0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 24.81% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.98% Total : 52.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |