Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
46.9% ( 0.02) | 23.82% ( -0) | 29.27% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.44% ( -0) | 42.55% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( -0) | 64.96% ( -0) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.66% ( 0) | 18.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.55% ( 0.01) | 49.44% ( -0.01) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.56% ( -0.01) | 27.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.08% ( -0.01) | 62.92% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |