Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren1 - 0QotS
Gogic (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between St Mirren and Queen of the South.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, January 2 at 5pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, January 2 at 5pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 49.18% | 23.97% | 26.85% |
| Both teams to score 56.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% | 44.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% | 67.23% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% | 18.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.56% | 49.44% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% | 30.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.45% | 66.55% |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 49.18%
Queen of the South 26.85%
Draw 23.96%
| St Mirren | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.18% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-1 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.85% |
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Sep 24, 2017 4.10pm
