Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
45.06% ( 4.67) | 24.91% ( -0.58) | 30.03% ( -4.09) |
Both teams to score 56% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( 1.17) | 47.04% ( -1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% ( 1.08) | 69.28% ( -1.08) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% ( 2.71) | 20.92% ( -2.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% ( 4.08) | 53.65% ( -4.08) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.82% ( -2.07) | 29.18% ( 2.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.88% ( -2.62) | 65.12% ( 2.62) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.8) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.69) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.37) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.83) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |