Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
45.84% ( 0.16) | 23.5% ( 0.13) | 30.65% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% ( -0.75) | 40.3% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.32% ( -0.78) | 62.68% ( 0.78) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( -0.23) | 17.88% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.34% ( -0.4) | 48.66% ( 0.4) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( -0.55) | 25.41% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% ( -0.76) | 60.23% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |