Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Auguste-Delaune II
Reims1 - 1Lens
We said: Reims 1-1 Lens
While Lens have had the better of Reims in recent fixtures, they have never beaten them on three successive occasions in the top flight, and with a relatively healthy squad, we expect a much better showing from the home side this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Lens |
35.57% ( 0.98) | 26.36% ( -0.1) | 38.07% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.23% ( 0.54) | 51.76% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( 0.46) | 73.53% ( -0.46) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( 0.86) | 27.95% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.42% ( 1.08) | 63.57% ( -1.08) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0.24) | 26.49% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.31% ( -0.32) | 61.68% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Reims 35.57%
Lens 38.07%
Draw 26.35%
| Reims | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.07% |
How you voted: Reims vs Lens
Reims
25.6%Draw
32.6%Lens
41.9%86
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 8pm
May 12, 2023 8pm
Sep 4, 2022 2pm
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
2-0
Reims
