Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Lens |
30.65% ( 0.05) | 26.7% ( -0) | 42.65% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.6% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.81% ( 0.02) | 54.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.4% ( 0.02) | 75.6% ( -0.02) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( 0.05) | 32.39% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( 0.05) | 68.91% ( -0.05) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( -0.01) | 25.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% ( -0.02) | 59.88% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.65% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |