Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre3 - 0Lorient
We said: Le Havre 1-2 Lorient
Le Havre will be hoping to record their first win of the season, but we think that they will be edged out by a confident Lorient side who would have been buoyed by last weekend's 4-1 win over Lille. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Lorient |
48.41% ( -1.4) | 26.66% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
