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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Reims
Rennes
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Ligue 1
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lens logo

Lorient
1 - 3
Lens

Faivre (6')
Yongwa (71'), Kalulu (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sotoca (20'), Thomasson (25'), Fofana (87')
Machado (39'), Medina (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Reims
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 2-3 Lens

 Knowing that they must win to keep their title hopes alive, Lens look set to notch a fifth successive victory this weekend, although the hosts are expected to make life difficult for their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawLens
17.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 57.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.97% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61% (0.027999999999999 0.03)44.39% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.44% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.98% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 17.96%
    Lens 57.97%
    Draw 24.07%
LorientDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.96%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 13.91%
0-2 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.3%
0-4 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 57.97%

How you voted: Lorient vs Lens

Lorient
24.1%
Draw
0.0%
Lens
75.9%
29
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lorient
1-1
Lens
 Lens win 4-2 on penalties
Le Fee (84')
Fulgini (21')
Poreba (50'), Boura (60'), Onana (82')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
gameweek 23
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
gameweek 4
Lens
2-2
Lorient
Clauss (24'), Fofana (70')
Danso (18'), Medina (75')
Lauriente (27'), Monconduit (35')
Abergel (6'), Fontaine (12'), Silva (23'), Nardi (59')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
gameweek 32
Lens
4-1
Lorient
Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)
Moffi (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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