Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2 - 1Lens
We said: Lille 1-1 Lens
Friday's encounter has all the makings of a fascinating derby between a Lille side who are hardly ever outfought on their own patch, and a Lens crop with the most away clean sheets in the current Ligue 1 campaign. The international break has the potential to disrupt both sides' flow, though, and with both managers wary of the ramifications of a defeat, yet another low-scoring stalemate between the two sides may be on the Stade Pierre-Mauroy menu. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
54.77% ( 0.01) | 23.39% ( -0) | 21.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( 0.01) | 47.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( 0) | 69.33% ( -0.01) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 0) | 17.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.74% ( 0.01) | 47.26% ( -0.01) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0) | 35.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.38% ( -0) | 72.62% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 54.76%
Lens 21.84%
Draw 23.38%
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.84% |
How you voted: Lille vs Lens
Lille
49.4%Draw
40.5%Lens
10.1%79
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Lens
1-1
Lille
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
