Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Le Havre |
38.94% ( 0.08) | 25.8% ( 0.05) | 35.25% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.61% ( -0.24) | 49.38% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.57% ( -0.22) | 71.43% ( 0.21) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( -0.07) | 24.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% ( -0.09) | 59.54% ( 0.09) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.19) | 26.99% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( -0.25) | 62.34% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |