Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Le Havre |
43.04% ( 0.34) | 26.33% ( -0.05) | 30.63% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.73% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.26% ( 0.09) | 52.74% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.63% ( 0.07) | 74.37% ( -0.08) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% ( 0.21) | 24.31% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.3% ( 0.3) | 58.69% ( -0.3) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.34% ( -0.17) | 31.65% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.93% ( -0.19) | 68.07% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |