MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:58:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Metz logo

Toulouse
3 - 0
Metz

Schmidt (31'), Dallinga (43'), Magri (82')
Nicolaisen (13'), Suazo (63'), Sierro (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Metz

Draws have been commonplace in this fixture over the past several years, and while the two sides have not squared off since pre-COVID times, we can envisage a similar pattern continuing here. Toulouse have established themselves as the stalemate specialists at home, but Metz have developed an affinity for dogged defensive showings on the road, and both sides should leave with another point in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMetz
38.73% (-0.422 -0.42) 26.34% (0.145 0.15) 34.93% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.578 -0.58)51.75% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.503 -0.5)73.52% (0.50399999999999 0.5)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.497 -0.5)26.12% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.671 -0.67)61.19% (0.671 0.67)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)28.33% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.139 -0.14)64.06% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.73%
    Metz 34.93%
    Draw 26.34%
ToulouseDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Metz

Toulouse
43.8%
Draw
43.8%
Metz
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Sep 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Diallo (4'), Niane (91' pen.)
Delaine (11')
Said (86'), Koulouris (95')
Gradel (95')
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Roux (32')
Palmieri (42')
Amian (84')
Jean (18'), Moubandje (44'), Toivonen (87'), Durmaz (90')
Nov 18, 2017 7pm
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
Blin (39'), Amian Adou (72')
Niakhate (16'), Dossevi (41'), Roux (51')
Diagne (23')
May 14, 2017 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!